Nintendo is throwing some cold water on Switch 2 sales estimates even though launch demand seems to be off the charts.

Nintendo is predicting that it will sell 15 million Switch 2 consoles in its current financial year — a figure that most analysts agree is too low, but that would still put it among the fastest-selling game consoles of all time.

Nintendo forecasts Switch 2 sales of 15 million units by the end of the 2025/26 financial year. The company also expects triple that number of software sales (45 million), excluding bundled software such as the Mario Kart World bundle launching alongside the base model on 5th June.