If you’re confused about whether the U.S. economy in a recession, near a recession or doing OK, you’re not alone. Turns out the answer may depend on where you live, according to Moody’s Analytics ...

The probability that the National Bureau of Economic Research will someday determine a national recession began in the U.S. between December 2025 and December 2026 has fallen below twenty percent.

Despite bullish sentiment around AI and Fed rate cuts, I see mounting economic weakness that could broaden out and weigh on the market. Key recession signals include the Leading Economic Index, ...